Shattered Web Case 开箱返还率

游戏内武器箱，Valve 官方概率

−$3.34 每次开箱平均亏损

头奖 ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade · $468.81 · 每次开箱 0.005% 的概率

$100 会变成什么样

场景：用 $100 的全部预算开 15 次箱子，再把所有掉落按市场价卖掉。结果如下：

够开多少次 15

$35.38 十次里有八次：$26.69 到 $89.06

盈利概率 8.2%

翻倍概率 0.65%

开出头奖的概率 0.07%

69 件物品

物品	概率	市场价格
★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade	0.005%	$468.81
★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter	0.005%	$375.57
★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web	0.005%	$279.84
★ Nomad Knife \| Fade	0.005%	$258.98
★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened	0.005%	$245.96
★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter	0.005%	$218.78
★ Skeleton Knife	0.005%	$212.44
★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel	0.005%	$208.06
★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained	0.005%	$173.01
★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened	0.005%	$154.13
★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web	0.005%	$152.77
★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe	0.005%	$142.22
★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel	0.005%	$135.59
★ Paracord Knife \| Fade	0.005%	$134.50
★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked	0.005%	$129.60
★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched	0.005%	$123.79
★ Survival Knife \| Fade	0.005%	$123.44
★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter	0.005%	$117.82
★ Nomad Knife	0.005%	$117.81
★ Nomad Knife \| Stained	0.005%	$113.82
★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest	0.005%	$112.58
★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT	0.005%	$109.66
★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh	0.005%	$108.45
★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter	0.005%	$107.32
★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened	0.005%	$95.59
★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked	0.005%	$92.90
★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web	0.005%	$90.18
★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe	0.005%	$88.59
AWP \| Containment Breach	0.32%	$86.55
★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened	0.005%	$86.11