Prisma 2 Case: 44% RTP, 7.1% chance to profit — Skinory
en en
ru Русскийpl Polskien Englishde Deutschnl Nederlandsda Danskes Españolpt Portuguêsfr Françaistr Türkçemn Монголzh 简体中文ja 日本語ko 한국어vi Tiếng Việtid Indonesiams Melayutl Filipinohi हिन्दीar العربيةfa فارسیhe עברית
$ usd
Prisma 2 Case

Return from opening Prisma 2 Case

In-game case, Valve odds Opening price$3.51
F Grade
44% Payout
−$1.96 Average loss per opening

Top prize ★ Talon Knife | Doppler · $774.95 · 0.0093% chance per opening

What happens to $100

Scenario: open the case 28 times with the whole $100 budget and sell every drop at market prices. Here is what you get:

Openings it buys 28
Left after 28 openings $22.06 8 times out of 10: between $13.96 and $83.74
Chance to end ahead 7.1%
Chance to double 3.4%
Chance at the top prize 0.26%
Openings until zero 35

Contents and odds

45 items
ItemOddsMarket price
★ Talon Knife | Doppler0.0093%$774.95
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade0.0093%$518.89
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler0.0093%$436.82
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth0.0093%$428.75
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel0.0093%$300.18
★ Talon Knife0.0093%$297.52
★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade0.0093%$277.71
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet0.0093%$265.09
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth0.0093%$256.71
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat0.0093%$225.35
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler0.0093%$222.82
★ Stiletto Knife0.0093%$184.28
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel0.0093%$178.33
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet0.0093%$160.11
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade0.0093%$144.80
★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat0.0093%$124.76
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth0.0093%$123.68
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler0.0093%$106.03
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet0.0093%$82.92
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade0.0093%$78.99
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel0.0093%$74.93
★ Ursus Knife0.0093%$69.13
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth0.0093%$62.56
M4A1-S | Player Two0.32%$60.67
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen0.32%$53.65
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat0.0093%$49.63
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet0.0093%$43.79
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel0.0093%$42.48
★ Navaja Knife0.0093%$36.63
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat0.0093%$35.55

The calculation uses current market prices and published odds. It is a statistical estimate; an individual opening can differ.

Open in the simulator Case page

Ranked 26 of 42 CS2 cases by payout

Cases with a similar payout

Operation Phoenix Weapon Case Operation Phoenix Weapon Case Payout 46% · Profit chance 10% F Spectrum Case Spectrum Case Payout 46% · Profit chance 13% F Huntsman Weapon Case Huntsman Weapon Case Payout 46% · Profit chance 6.0% F Gallery Case Gallery Case Payout 43% · Profit chance 8.5% F Operation Riptide Case Operation Riptide Case Payout 43% · Profit chance 5.9% F Spectrum 2 Case Spectrum 2 Case Payout 43% · Profit chance 14% F

Questions

Why is the Prisma 2 Case payout below 100%?

The case and key cost $3.51, and almost everything that drops is a cheap skin: 79.92% for the lowest tier, 0.26% for a knife or gloves. Multiply the odds by market prices and you get 44% — that much of every 100 comes back on average.

Where do the prices come from?

The best market offers at the time of the calculation: Skinport, CSFloat, Market.CSGO, DMarket, Waxpeer and White.Market. That is what a drop actually sells for, not a display price.

What does “openings until zero” mean?

The model sells each drop and opens again while the balance covers the next case. For Prisma 2 Case, the median balance falls below the opening price after about 35 openings.

What if I get lucky?

Over 28 openings the chance to pull ★ Talon Knife | Doppler is 0.3%, and the chance to double the budget is 3.4%.