Explore the contents
Expand the odds table to see every item, its chance and average price.
Simulator: Winter 2022 Cosmetic Case
Virtual opening with real drop prices. Not gambling — nothing is charged or awarded.
Grade, Strange and Unusual chances from community testing recorded on the Team Fortress Wiki; Valve has never published TF2 odds. Items are equally likely within a grade.
Space or Enter opens
Opened 0
Spent $0.00
Received $0.00
Profit +$0.00
Your RTP —
Best drop —
Session run
Unbox a case to see the history of every drop here
The simulator sells and buys nothing. Prices are the best current market offers, and items without a reliable market price count as zero. Odds are fixed and never depend on earlier results.
Why use an unboxing simulator
Compare the modes
Switch between Community odds and the other RTP modes to see how the chances of expensive and inexpensive drops change.
Look at a whole series
Run ×10 or ×50 and compare spending, drop value and session RTP. A short series can differ substantially from the model’s expected return.
What is inside Winter 2022 Cosmetic Case
Winter 2022 Cosmetic Case holds 23 items and, with its key, currently costs $2.36. At community-tested odds the average unbox is worth 28% of the price: of every 100 spent, 28 comes back.
TF2 unboxing odds
Valve has never published them. The Team Fortress Wiki records community-tested odds of 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin and 0.8% Elite, a separate 10% Strange chance and at most about 0.66% for an Unusual. War paint wear follows the game files: 10% Factory New, 20% Minimal Wear, 40% Field-Tested, 20% Well-Worn and 10% Battle Scarred.