Explore the contents
Expand the odds table to see every item, its chance and average price.
Simulator: Frostivus 2023 Treasure Chest
Virtual opening with real drop prices. Not gambling — nothing is charged or awarded.
Tier chances Skinory derives from Valve’s announcement for this chest; items in a tier are equally likely. The chances are fixed, so every opening is independent.
Space or Enter opens
Opened 0
Spent $0.00
Received $0.00
Profit +$0.00
Your RTP —
Best drop —
Session run
Open a treasure to see the history of every drop here
The simulator sells and buys nothing. Prices are the best current market offers, and items without a reliable market price count as zero. Odds are fixed and never depend on earlier results.
Why use a treasure simulator
Compare the modes
Switch between Valve ratios and the other RTP modes to see how the chances of expensive and inexpensive drops change.
Look at a whole series
Run ×10 or ×50 and compare spending, drop value and session RTP. A short series can differ substantially from the model’s expected return.
What is inside Frostivus 2023 Treasure Chest
Frostivus 2023 Treasure Chest holds 31 items and currently costs $2.56 to open. At the simulator’s fixed odds the average drop is worth 56% of that: of every 100 spent, 56 comes back.
How the Frostivus 2023 Treasure Chest odds work
Valve’s announcement for the chest gives relative odds only: how likely each tier is compared with the next, and one chance in a hundred thousand for the cosmically rare tier. From these Skinory derives Tier 1 90%, Tier 2 9%, Tier 3 0.9% and Tier 4 0.1% of openings, and 0.001% for the cosmically rare tier, with items in a tier equally likely. The chest opens with a $2.49 key from the Dota 2 store, so one opening costs the chest plus the key.